State of Ecommerce 2026: How AI Is Rewiring the Shopper Journey

Similarweb and Statista measured where AI actually enters the path to purchase. We redrew every chart that matters — and pulled out what it means for search and links: AI builds the shortlist, search still closes, and Gen AI referrals are tiny but growing 200% a year.

State of Ecommerce 2026: How AI Is Rewiring the Shopper Journey

Every ecommerce report for the last two years has promised that AI would change how people shop. This one measures it. Similarweb and Statista pulled together clickstream data on real shopper journeys, Amazon sales data, and consumer surveys covering tens of thousands of people across the US, UK and Germany, and published the result as a 71-page report.

We read all of it, rebuilt the charts that matter, and added a short section on what the numbers mean if organic traffic and links are part of how you grow. The headline: AI is now in more than one in ten shopping journeys — and in nine out of ten of those, search is still in the loop.

11.4%
Of US shopper journeys touch AI (Jun 2026)
89%
Of those journeys also use search
+203%
Gen AI referrals to ecommerce sites, YoY
$4.9T
Global B2C ecommerce revenue by 2030
The short version
  • AI has gone mainstream in shopping. Its share of US journeys to a retail site rose from 4.5% to 11.4% in two years. Roughly half of consumers report that AI has altered the way they browse.
  • But it sits in the middle, not at the start or end. In journeys that use AI, it is a middle touchpoint 76% of the time. Search appears at the start, middle and end of at least half of its journeys.
  • AI + search is the highest-converting path. 23.0% conversion versus 17.3% for search-only and 12.5% for AI-only.
  • Gen AI referrals are tiny but explosive. Under 1% of visits in every sector, growing 200–280% a year — six to ten times faster than any other channel.
  • Direct is fading, paid is rising. In fashion, paid channels overtook direct traffic in 2025 and now bring a third of all visits.
  • Trust is the ceiling. Around 40% of shoppers trust AI to recommend products; only 18–24% would let it make the final call.

1. AI has changed how people browse — for every age group

Start with perception: do shoppers feel anything is different? 49% of US consumers agree that AI has altered their browsing habits, and among 25–44-year-olds the share tops 50%. The striking part is the floor, not the peak — no age band drops under 43%, so this is not just a Gen Z story.

Has AI changed your browsing habits?

Share of US consumers who agree, are neutral or disagree, by age · Similarweb panel, Aug 2026

AgreeNeutralDisagree
All shoppers49.1%28.9%22%
18–2444.2%29.8%26.1%
25–3453.1%24.9%22%
35–4454.4%26.6%19%
45–5449.7%28.8%21.5%
55–6443.5%35.9%20.7%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

2. AI now appears in one in nine journeys to a retail site

Self-reported change is one thing; behaviour is another. Similarweb tracked every desktop session that ended on a transactional retail site and checked whether an AI tool appeared along the way. In July 2024, that was true for 4.5% of journeys. By June 2026 it was 11.4% — more than double in under two years, with a steady climb rather than a spike.

Share of US shopper journeys that visit an AI tool before a retail site

Desktop, Jul 2024 – Jun 2026

4.5%
Jul 24
 
 
 
 
6.1%
 
Jan 25
 
 
 
 
9.1%
 
Jul 25
 
 
 
 
9.9%
 
Jan 26
 
 
 
 
11.4%
Jun 26
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

Still a minority of journeys, then — but the direction is not in doubt. The people who use it are also the most engaged shoppers, as the next charts show.

3. AI is almost never used alone

This is the number that matters most for anyone who earns traffic from search. Among journeys that use AI at all, 89% also use a search engine. Only 11% go from AI straight to a retailer without touching search. Shoppers use AI to explore, compare and shortlist, then go back to search as they move toward a purchase.

How AI journeys use search

US desktop journeys that include an AI tool, Jun 2026

89% of AI shopper journeys also use search. Just 11% use AI only. In the report, Aleyda Solis (Orainti) makes the practical point: SEO and AI-search visibility are not competing budgets — you build on the same foundation and extend it to the sources shoppers actually consult.
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

4. AI wins early in the journey; search wins late

Asked which tool is most useful at each stage, consumers name AI almost twice as often as search for discovering ideas and researching options. The gap narrows when they are deciding what to buy, and nearly disappears at the last step — evaluating value and feeling confident. AI and search look less like substitutes and more like two tools for different jobs.

Which is most useful at each stage of a purchase?

Share of US consumers who use both AI and search · Similarweb panel, Aug 2026

AI toolsSearch engines
Discovering / getting initial ideas
34.5%
18.9%
Researching / comparing options
36%
19.3%
Narrowing choices, deciding what to buy
34.8%
24.2%
Evaluating value, feeling confident
29.2%
27.3%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

5. Where AI sits in the path to purchase

Behavioural data tells the same story from the other side. Similarweb split every session into a first touchpoint, middle touchpoints, and the last site before the retailer. AI shows up in the middle 76% of the time and is rarely first (23%) or last (18%). Search is spread across the whole journey — it is the first, middle or last touchpoint in more than half of the sessions where it appears.

Position of AI and search within the shopper journey

Share of each tool's journeys in which it appears at that position · US desktop, Jun 2026

Session startTransactional site
First touchpoint
23%AI50%Search
Middle touchpoints
76%AI60%Search
Last touchpoint
18%AI56%Search
AI is concentrated in research and consideration. Search is the connective tissue across the whole journey. Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

That shape is drifting, though. Two years ago AI was a middle touchpoint in 81% of its journeys; today it is 76%, and both the first-touch and last-touch shares have crept up. In other words, more shoppers now open with AI and come back to it right before they buy.

6. The most complex journeys convert best

Journeys that mix AI and search visit almost 15 sites on average — far more than search-only (10) or AI-only (7). That extra research does not hurt: the same journeys convert at 23.0%, the highest of the three. The report is careful not to claim causation; the likelier reading is that these are higher-intent shoppers who consult more sources before they commit.

Average sites visited per journey

By tool used · US desktop, Jun 2026

AI + Search14.9
Search only10.1
AI only7.3
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

Conversion rate per journey

By tool used · US desktop, Jun 2026

AI + Search23%
Search only17.3%
AI only12.5%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

7. AI usage depends on what you are buying

The 11.4% average hides a spread between categories. Consumer electronics sits highest at 14.1% of journeys, beauty next at 13.2% — expensive gadgets and specific skincare both call for research — while home & garden trails at 10.4%. Put simply: the harder a purchase is to compare, the more often an AI tool ends up in the loop.

Share of shopper journeys that include AI, by sector

US desktop, Jun 2026

Consumer electronics14.1%
Beauty13.2%
Fashion11.7%
All ecommerce11.4%
Marketplaces11%
Home & garden10.4%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

8. Ecommerce traffic is growing again — and apps grow faster

Worldwide ecommerce web visits grew 6.8% in the year to June 2026, up from 1.3% the year before. App sessions grew faster still at 8.6%. Growth is uneven, though: in the UK, Germany and Canada, visits rose while unique visitors fell — fewer people browsing harder, which the report links to longer, AI-assisted research before a purchase.

Ecommerce traffic growth, year over year

Worldwide, web & app · two 12-month periods

Jul 2024 – Jun 2025Jul 2025 – Jun 2026
Web visits
1.3%
6.8%
Web unique visitors
4.5%
5.8%
App sessions
5.2%
8.6%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

9. Where ecommerce traffic actually comes from

This is the chart to bookmark. Across all ecommerce sites worldwide, direct brings 44% of visits and organic search 24%. Everything paid — search, social, display — adds up to about 13%. And Gen AI referrals, the channel everyone is talking about, deliver 0.4%.

Share of ecommerce visits by marketing channel

Worldwide, web · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026

Direct44%
Organic search23.9%
Paid search7.3%
Referrals6.2%
Organic social5.5%
Display4.7%
Paid social1.4%
Gen AI0.4%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

Share is only half the picture. Gen AI is the fastest-growing channel in every sector, up 203% year over year for ecommerce as a whole and 226–276% within individual categories — roughly six to ten times the growth of the next-fastest channel. Direct and organic search are essentially flat.

Year-over-year growth in visits by channel

Worldwide ecommerce, web · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026

Gen AI+203%
Paid social+32.5%
Display+26.8%
Paid search+22.8%
Organic social+19.6%
Referrals+16.8%
Direct+1.2%
Organic search+1%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.
Why the 0.4% matters anyway. Last-click share understates AI's role: as the journey data shows, AI usually sits in the middle and hands the shopper back to search or direct. The visit gets credited to Google or to the brand; the shortlist was built somewhere else. We covered the same effect from the search side in The Great Decoupling.

10. Marketplaces still own the traffic — except in the UK and France

Marketplaces take 38–45% of all ecommerce visits in most markets. The exceptions are the UK (30.6%) and France (21.1%), where fashion retailers fill the gap — UK fashion alone holds 16.2% of ecommerce traffic.

Share of ecommerce visits by sector and country

Web · Jul 2025 – Jun 2026

MarketMarketplacesFashionElectronicsHome & gardenBeauty
Worldwide44.6%8.5%7.7%4.7%2.4%
United States38.2%11.6%4.7%6.8%2.8%
United Kingdom30.6%16.2%3.3%9.7%2.7%
Germany32.2%9.1%7.2%6.5%2.8%
France21.1%12.2%4.9%8.8%2.7%
Canada33.0%11.2%4.8%8.9%2.5%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

Geographically, marketplace growth is moving away from mature Western markets. The US still dominates by volume (56.9 billion visits), but the fastest growth is in India (+14.8%), France (+14.4%) and Saudi Arabia (+22.8%).

Top 10 markets for marketplace visits

Billions of visits, Jul 2025 – Jun 2026, with YoY change

United States (+7%)56.9B
Japan (-4%)16.4B
Russia (+8.3%)14.4B
Brazil (+7.2%)13.7B
India (+14.8%)12.2B
United Kingdom (-0.9%)9.4B
Germany (+0.4%)9B
Canada (+0.6%)5.1B
France (+14.4%)5B
Mexico (+0.6%)4.4B
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

11. Conversational search is exploding inside Amazon

External AI referrals are under 1% of marketplace traffic, but shoppers do not have to leave Amazon to ask an assistant. Traffic to product pages from Amazon's own Alexa for Shopping (formerly Rufus) is growing 380–570% year over year. The catch, as the report notes, is that these assistants apply their own filter: sponsored products and past purchases get priority. Brands that skip retail media risk not appearing in the conversation at all.

Amazon Alexa for Shopping traffic to product pages, YoY growth

US desktop, Feb – Jun 2026

Feb 2026+566.7%
Mar 2026+536%
Apr 2026+461%
May 2026+380.1%
Jun 2026+537.2%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

12. Who wins the AI referral traffic?

For each sector, the report compares a site's rank by Gen AI referrals with its overall traffic rank. The big brands (Ulta, Apple, Home Depot) lead both lists. The interesting names are the ones that rank far higher in AI than on the open web — ingredient-led and specialist brands that answer the kind of questions people ask a chatbot.

Sites that punch above their weight in Gen AI referrals

Gen AI referral rank vs. overall traffic rank · US web, Jul 2026

SiteSectorAI referral rankOverall rankDifference
laroche-posay.usBeauty#10#75+65
abercrombie.comFashion#9#32+29
theordinary.comBeauty#8#36+28
newegg.comElectronics#4#9+5
potterybarn.comHome#5#10+5
crateandbarrel.comHome#8#13+5
quince.comFashion#2#6+4
nordstrom.comFashion#1#4+3
sallybeauty.comBeauty#9#12+3
lg.comElectronics#10#13+3
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

The pattern by sector: in beauty, ChatGPT prompts are dominated by hair-care and skin-care routines, so dermatological brands win. In electronics, it is PC builds and compatibility, so Newegg gains. In fashion, AI acts as a personal stylist and elevated-basics brands like Quince and Abercrombie benefit. In home, it plays interior designer and lifts Pottery Barn and Crate & Barrel.

13. In fashion, paid media has overtaken direct traffic

One of the clearest structural shifts in the report. In July 2023, direct traffic brought 33.6% of visits to fashion sites and paid channels 27.6%. By July 2026 the two had swapped: paid is at 33.8%, direct at 27.8%, and organic search plus social slipped to 23.7%. Retailers replaced fading organic reach with money.

Fashion sites: share of visits by channel type

US web · Direct vs. organic (search + social) vs. paid (search + social + display); the remainder is referrals

DirectOrganicPaid
Jul 202333.6%25.1%27.6%
Jul 202432.6%26.5%26.7%
Jul 202528.1%24.7%32.5%
Jul 202627.8%23.7%33.8%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.
The challenger's problem. Rand Fishkin's comment in the report is worth paraphrasing: big brands can afford to move growth from organic discovery to paid media; startups and challenger brands cannot, and this shift makes their path more expensive. That is exactly the gap that earned links and organic visibility are meant to close — see our guide to link-building strategies that still work.

14. The market keeps growing — with AI as a catalyst

Statista forecasts global B2C ecommerce revenue of over $4.9 trillion by 2030, 27% above 2026. The US alone goes from $1.2T to $1.5T. Statista estimates that AI in the shopping journey already contributed almost 2 percentage points of worldwide ecommerce growth between 2024 and 2025.

Ecommerce revenue forecast, 2026 vs 2030

USD billions · Statista Market Insights, Jul 2026

20262030
United States
$1,216B
$1,507B
United Kingdom
$137B
$159B
Germany
$109B
$133B
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

15. Adoption is real but uneven

How often do people actually use AI while shopping? In the US, 27% say often or very often. In Germany, 44% say never. Age is the sharpest divide: 34% of US Gen Z and 35% of Millennials use AI often in the shopping journey, against 16% of Gen X and 6% of Boomers. Parents, men and higher-income households also use it more.

How often consumers use AI in the shopping journey

Statista Pulse survey, Jan – Jul 2026

Very oftenOftenSometimesRarelyNeverDon't know
United States12%15%21%12%36%
United Kingdom16%24%14%35%
Germany12%21%13%44%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

The same question by generation (US)

Statista Pulse survey, Jan – Jul 2026

Very oftenOftenSometimesRarelyNeverDon't know
Gen Z17%17%21%10%30%
Millennials15%20%25%13%24%
Gen X9%17%12%51%
Baby Boomers16%17%58%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

16. Trust is the real limit on agentic commerce

Would consumers let an AI agent buy for them? Mostly not yet. 42% of US adults would not trust AI to make purchases on their behalf; for Baby Boomers it is 70%. Where there is openness, it is in fashion and electronics (26–27% comfortable), and lowest for luxury (16%).

“I would not trust AI to make purchases on my behalf”

Share of US consumers, by generation · Statista Pulse survey, 2026

Baby Boomers70%
Gen X57%
Millennials35%
Gen Z29%
All US adults42%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

The same picture appears when you ask about AI's role short of buying. Around four in ten trust it to recommend products, a third rely on it to narrow choices — but only 18–24% would let it make the final decision. People want AI as an assistant, not a proxy.

Trust in AI's role within the shopping journey

Share who agree · Statista Pulse survey, Jan – Jul 2026

United StatesUnited KingdomGermany
Trust AI to recommend products that fit my needs
38%
40%
38%
Trust AI to give accurate, reliable information
37%
38%
34%
Rely on AI to narrow down my choices
35%
30%
33%
Would let AI make the final decision
24%
21%
18%
Source: Similarweb × Statista, State of Ecommerce 2026. Chart redrawn by Links.me.

Strip away the retail detail and the report leaves marketers with a fairly clear brief.

Five takeaways
  • Search is still the backbone. Organic search brings 24% of ecommerce visits; Gen AI brings 0.4%. And 89% of AI journeys pass through search anyway. Anyone cutting SEO to "go all-in on AI" is cutting the channel AI hands shoppers back to.
  • But get into the AI shortlist. AI builds the consideration set in the middle of the journey, and its recommendations persist: people were two to four times more likely to visit an AI-recommended brand within a week. Being cited by AI tools depends on the same things that earn links — trusted, relevant mentions across the web. Our piece on showing up in ChatGPT results covers the mechanics.
  • Specialists beat generalists in AI referrals. The sites that outrank their web position in AI traffic are ingredient-led, spec-led or style-led specialists. Topical authority — one of the top factors in our ranking-factors survey — pays twice now.
  • Organic is the affordable path for challengers. As fashion shows, big brands are buying growth with paid media. If you cannot outspend them, you need what they are letting slide: relevant links, PR mentions and content that answers real questions.
  • Own your discovery surface. Inside marketplaces, native AI assistants favour sponsored listings and repeat buyers. Your own site, ranking in search and cited by AI, is the one shelf you control end to end.
About the data. This article is based on The State of Ecommerce 2026 by Similarweb and Statista (authors: Daniel Reid and Sam Sheridan, Similarweb; Sandra Ahrens and Kasia Davies, Statista). We rebuilt every chart from the figures published in the report and added our own interpretation for search and link-building teams. Similarweb notes that its data are estimates and extrapolations from third-party sources.
How the numbers were collected. Journey data comes from Similarweb clickstream panels: every website visited in a US desktop session before a transactional retail site (Jul 2024 – Jun 2026). Channel, traffic and loyalty data are Similarweb web and app estimates for the US, UK, Germany, France and Canada. Amazon category data comes from Similarweb Shopper Intelligence. Consumer figures come from a Similarweb US panel (Aug 2026) and Statista's Global and Pulse surveys of internet users aged 18–64 in the US, UK and Germany (Jan – Jul 2026; roughly 60,000 US, 23,000 UK and 30,000 German respondents in the Global survey).
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